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Paul Graham on Trends for the future

Page history last edited by Robert Elison 8 mos ago

 

Paul listed about 21 trends he noted in the business that were worth noticing and possibly use. I couldn’t list them all, but this is the point of a WIKI

Trend 1: Innovation

Trend 2: Software (can still make money)

Trend 3: efficient marketing (with direct communication)

Trend 4: measurement – “you make what you measure”, so make sure you measure the right thing (Downloads?)

Trend 5: United States

Trend 6: Silicon Valley

Trend 7: Small companies (it used to more efficient to be big, but this advantage is eroding)

Trend 8: Inequality

Trend 9: Moore's Law (sort of - still true, but getting harder to tap, i.e. multi-core)

Trend 10: Looking at screens – people will spend most of their time looking at screens in future

Trend 11: Server based apps – long run still. More complicated.

Trend 12:  Super good customer service – customer switch. Be good with customers

Trend 13:  Facebook – Do not ignore something that looks frivolous

Trend 14:  Program languages. Use it if there is a market that become popular – Do not overlook something because it is “scripting language”

Trend 15:  Open source is worth betting on

Trend 16:  Linux – open source when design starts, and everyone cannot do good desigh

Trend 17:  Iphone is really a big thing

Trend 18:  Design

Trend 19:  Real time – Google wave, Twitter

Trend 20:  Venture founding needs you, so they won’t go away – Do not go to business schools.

 

Things not to bet on:

 

  1. Credentials granted by institutions.
  2. Business school.
  3. Government changing.
  4. Copyright.
  5. Restricted flow of information.

 

 

Comments (1)

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Robert Elison said

at 8:01 pm on Nov 17, 2009

Added a few more from my notes. I must say that #5/6 struck a bad note for me given the highly international nature of the audience!

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